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Red62
999812.2
999614.0
99972.8
Blue61
930510.1
916616.5
640412.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347204060801001206261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
44Total teleop41
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
62Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.04.0
3.87.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 2.5
16.50.2
17.918.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End0.8
Second
9998
#15Sur
12.24.0
3.97.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End1.6
red by 0.3
6404
#20
12.00.2
10.510.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Third
9997
#22
2.84.0
4.68.5
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
blue by 7.3
9305
#13Sur
10.10.2
10.410.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
2%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed