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Red18
827619.0
90495.2
999510.9
Blue13
92186.5
90509.2
961112.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514910203040607080901813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +1
2Coral scored#2
7Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
7Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
18Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.01.0
17.216.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 6.7
9611
#11
12.32.4
13.911.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Second
9995
#12Sur
10.91.7
8.16.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.0
red by 1.7
9050
#21
9.22.4
18.616.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Third
9049
#18
5.21.3
8.16.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 1.3
9218
#19Sur
6.52.4
10.58.1
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed