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Red75
115659.1
186029.7
17725.0
Blue47
999614.0
1001916.7
911019.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1344101001502007547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
13Coral scored#5
46Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
62Total teleop23
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points6
75Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.12.9
66.964.0
Auto12.5
Teleop38.3
End8.3
red by 39.4
19.70.9
20.719.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Second
29.72.9
34.531.7
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
red by 13.1
16.71.0
22.922.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Third
1772
#14
5.02.9
10.67.7
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End0.5
blue by 9.0
14.01.5
5.23.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed