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Red33
92186.5
921910.5
999812.2
Blue71
961112.3
999510.9
1019020.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29500204060801001201403371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+26
Endgame+40
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#6
16Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
24Total teleop41
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
4Foul points2
33Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9998
#15
12.21.8
5.63.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End1.6
blue by 8.3
20.62.3
18.420.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Second
9219
#16
10.51.1
18.417.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.0
End0.1
blue by 1.8
9611
#11
12.32.3
11.613.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Third
9218
#19
6.51.4
12.010.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 4.5
9995
#12
10.92.9
5.28.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned