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Red70
930214.2
916616.5
1001916.7
Blue37
99972.8
580019.1
90509.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5653203040607080907037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +13
7Coral scored#5
26Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
42Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
12Foul points0
70Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.5
22.522.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 2.4
19.10.8
20.920.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
16.50.5
17.417.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End0.8
red by 7.2
9050
#21
9.21.1
19.618.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Third
9302
#10
14.20.5
9.29.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 11.4
9997
#22
2.81.3
5.94.6
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed