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Red77
827619.0
186029.7
640412.0
Blue74
930510.1
703328.2
911019.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60660501001502007774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+15Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +19
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points21
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
54Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
77Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.2
33.334.5
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
red by 1.5
28.20.8
30.130.9
Auto7.2
Teleop17.0
End4.0
Second
19.01.2
16.017.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 0.7
19.70.8
20.020.7
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Third
6404
#20
12.01.2
9.310.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
red by 1.8
9305
#13
10.11.0
9.410.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned