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Red26
911019.7
92186.5
99972.8
Blue29
999614.0
580019.1
961112.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43411020305060702629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
3Coral scored#3
9Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
9Total teleop15
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
26Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.4
18.918.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 0.6
19.10.6
18.117.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
9218
#19
6.50.4
5.75.3
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 7.5
14.00.9
8.77.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Third
9997
#22
2.80.6
7.16.5
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
blue by 9.5
9611
#11
12.30.6
10.610.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed