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Red45
999510.9
930214.2
90495.2
Blue79
999812.2
1019020.6
827619.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303802060801004579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#12
16Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
30Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
45Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9302
#10
14.21.1
7.28.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 6.4
20.61.6
19.421.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Second
9995
#12
10.91.9
6.48.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 8.1
19.01.4
15.116.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Third
9049
#18
5.21.2
6.98.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 7.1
9998
#15
12.22.4
7.810.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned