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Red58
186029.7
916616.5
92186.5
Blue52
1019020.6
1001916.7
930510.1
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56564045506065705852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
45Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
58Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.5
29.329.8
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
red by 9.2
20.60.2
20.720.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Second
16.50.5
16.216.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End0.8
blue by 0.2
16.70.2
19.019.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Third
9218
#19
6.50.5
5.35.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 3.7
9305
#13
10.10.2
9.89.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed