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Red40
703328.2
99972.8
999812.2
Blue53
17725.0
911019.7
930214.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50401020306070804053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
21Total teleop33
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points0
40Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.0
31.430.4
Auto7.2
Teleop17.0
End4.0
red by 8.5
19.71.2
18.519.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Second
9998
#15
12.21.6
10.69.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End1.6
blue by 1.9
9302
#10
14.21.2
8.39.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
9997
#22
2.81.6
6.54.9
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
blue by 2.1
1772
#14
5.01.2
7.89.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed