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Red20
640412.0
921910.5
90509.2
Blue47
90495.2
961112.3
115659.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401030501502047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
3Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +14
4Coral scored#7
13Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
17Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
20Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6404
#20
12.01.4
13.211.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
blue by 47.2
59.12.3
64.562.2
Auto12.5
Teleop38.3
End8.3
Second
9219
#16
10.51.4
13.412.1
Auto1.5
Teleop9.0
End0.1
blue by 1.8
9611
#11
12.32.3
10.07.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Third
9050
#21
9.21.4
13.912.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.9
End0.5
red by 4.1
9049
#18
5.22.3
6.64.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed