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Red35
1001916.7
999510.9
99972.8
Blue51
930510.1
17725.0
580019.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46411020305060703551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
4Coral scored#8
15Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
19Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
35Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.2
19.119.3
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 2.4
19.11.0
17.718.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
9995
#12
10.90.3
8.08.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.0
red by 0.8
9305
#13
10.11.0
9.910.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Third
9997
#22
2.80.3
4.95.2
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
blue by 2.1
1772
#14
5.01.0
9.010.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed