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Red60
911019.7
999812.2
703328.2
Blue78
90495.2
999614.0
1019020.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6236020801001201406078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points31
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
38Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points12
60Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.1
30.429.3
Auto7.2
Teleop17.0
End4.0
red by 7.6
20.61.2
20.922.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Second
19.71.1
19.818.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 5.7
14.02.0
7.59.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Third
9998
#15
12.21.9
9.07.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End1.6
red by 7.1
9049
#18
5.21.2
4.45.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed