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Red83
92186.5
115659.1
930214.2
Blue18
930510.1
99972.8
921910.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99260501508318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +42
11Coral scored#2
40Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
50Total teleop8
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#2
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
6Foul points0
83Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.1
61.261.1
Auto12.5
Teleop38.3
End8.3
red by 48.6
9219
#16
10.50.6
11.610.9
Auto1.5
Teleop9.0
End0.1
Second
9302
#10
14.20.1
10.210.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 4.0
9305
#13
10.10.6
10.910.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Third
9218
#19
6.50.1
7.06.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.3
red by 3.6
9997
#22
2.81.0
5.24.2
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned5%Barge oddsMissed