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Red100
580019.1
90495.2
115659.1
Blue39
916616.5
930510.1
999510.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1083905015020010039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+47Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +39
12Coral scored#4
43Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
61Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
100Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.5
60.260.7
Auto12.5
Teleop38.3
End8.3
red by 42.7
16.50.3
16.215.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End0.8
Second
19.10.5
18.819.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 8.2
9995
#12
10.90.4
9.89.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Third
9049
#18
5.20.5
4.95.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 5.0
9305
#13
10.10.3
11.811.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed