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Red100
999812.2
115659.1
916616.5
Blue89
999510.9
911019.7
186029.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100722040608012014016010089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
75Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points6
100Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.4
60.761.0
Auto12.5
Teleop38.3
End8.3
red by 29.4
29.71.1
30.531.6
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
Second
16.50.4
15.816.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End0.8
blue by 3.3
19.71.1
18.319.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Third
9998
#15
12.20.4
9.29.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End1.6
red by 1.3
9995
#12
10.91.4
9.310.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed