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Red46
99972.8
999614.0
930214.2
Blue47
703328.2
90509.2
1019020.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1874040601001201401604647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
5Coral scored#6
18Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
24Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points0
46Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9302
#10
14.21.1
12.213.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 14.0
28.20.8
28.627.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.0
End4.0
Second
14.01.4
9.611.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 6.6
20.60.8
21.020.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Third
9997
#22
2.81.4
1.52.8
Auto2.6
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
blue by 6.4
9050
#21
9.20.8
10.19.2
Auto1.9
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed