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Red23
580019.1
90495.2
827619.0
Blue12
961112.3
17725.0
1001916.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524002060801002312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
1Coral scored#0
5Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#0
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#0
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points2
23Total score12

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.11.4
19.317.9
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 2.4
16.71.9
17.715.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Second
19.01.4
19.217.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 6.7
9611
#11
12.31.9
11.59.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Third
9049
#18
5.21.4
5.44.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
red by 0.2
1772
#14
5.01.9
8.76.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed