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Red39
921910.5
999510.9
999812.2
Blue21
640412.0
92186.5
930510.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334201001502002503921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +14
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
28Total teleop14
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
39Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9998
#15
12.20.1
9.69.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End1.6
red by 0.3
6404
#20
12.01.2
12.311.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Second
9995
#12
10.90.1
10.710.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.0
red by 0.8
9305
#13
10.11.2
10.99.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
Third
9219
#16
10.50.1
10.610.5
Auto1.5
Teleop9.0
End0.1
red by 4.0
9218
#19
6.51.2
7.66.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed