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Red50
961112.3
999812.2
999614.0
Blue72
580019.1
90495.2
827619.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245201001505072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +20
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
32Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
50Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.00.4
11.011.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.6
End1.3
blue by 5.1
19.10.5
17.918.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
9611
#11
12.30.4
9.610.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End2.6
blue by 6.7
19.00.5
17.818.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Third
9998
#15
12.20.4
9.69.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End1.6
red by 7.1
9049
#18
5.20.5
4.04.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5