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Red80
703328.2
1019020.6
930510.1
Blue0
99925.3
99905.3
99995.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6728020406080100120800

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+40Auto
+66Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +40
3Leave0
7Coral scored#0
37Coral points0
40Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +26
6Coral scored#0
22Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
26Total teleop0
Reef
6L4#0
2L3#0
2L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#0
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
80Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.5
27.828.3
Auto7.2
Teleop17.0
End4.0
red by 22.9
9990
UnrankedDQ
5.30.7
6.76.0
Auto1.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Second
20.60.5
20.120.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
red by 15.3
9992
UnrankedDQ
5.30.7
6.76.0
Auto1.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Third
9305
#13
10.10.5
9.710.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
red by 4.8
9999
UnrankedDQ
5.30.7
6.76.0
Auto1.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5