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Red0
99925.3
99905.3
99995.3
Blue80
640412.0
930214.2
1001916.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29420206080100080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+66
Endgame+80
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points28
0Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +38
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
0Total teleop38
Reef
0L4#5
0L3#4
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points0
0Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9990
UnrankedDQ
5.30.7
6.05.3
Auto1.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 11.4
16.70.7
15.716.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Second
9992
UnrankedDQ
5.30.7
6.05.3
Auto1.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 8.9
9302
#10
14.20.7
13.314.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
9999
UnrankedDQ
5.30.7
6.05.3
Auto1.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 6.7
6404
#20
12.00.7
11.011.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3