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Red89
115659.1
186029.7
17725.0
Blue53
580019.1
90495.2
827619.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119370501001508953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
59Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
89Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.2
60.660.4
Auto12.5
Teleop38.3
End8.3
red by 40.0
19.10.3
18.418.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
29.70.2
31.231.0
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End3.7
red by 10.7
19.00.3
18.318.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Third
1772
#14
5.00.2
6.46.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End0.5
blue by 0.2
9049
#18
5.20.3
4.54.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5