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Red66
1019020.6
703328.2
930510.1
Blue33
999510.9
916616.5
911019.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725602040801001201406633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
36Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
66Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.2
28.328.4
Auto7.2
Teleop17.0
End4.0
red by 8.5
19.70.3
19.919.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Second
20.60.2
20.620.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
red by 4.1
16.50.3
16.616.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End0.8
Third
9305
#13
10.10.2
10.210.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
blue by 0.8
9995
#12
10.90.3
11.110.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End1.0