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Red73
580019.1
90495.2
827619.0
Blue52
640412.0
930214.2
1001916.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48460204060801007352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+15Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
45Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points0
73Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.6
18.719.2
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 2.4
16.70.2
16.416.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Second
19.00.6
18.619.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 4.8
9302
#10
14.20.2
14.014.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Third
9049
#18
5.20.6
4.85.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 6.8
6404
#20
12.00.2
11.712.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3