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Red167
880851.1
940520.4
804491.2
Blue127
299249.1
597117.7
408744.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177107050150200250300167127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
0Leave9
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points16
37Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +16
18Coral scored#19
66Coral points70
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
110Total teleop94
Reef
9L4#8
9L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points2
167Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.20.0
90.490.4
Auto19.4
Teleop61.8
End10.0
red by 42.1
49.10.4
48.148.5
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End2.3
Second
8808
#10
51.10.0
50.350.3
Auto9.6
Teleop38.9
End2.6
red by 6.6
44.50.4
43.543.9
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End7.7
Third
9405
#21
20.40.0
19.619.6
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End5.5
red by 2.7
5971
#19
17.70.4
16.717.1
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1