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Red120
191252.0
222116.0
999442.8
Blue153
299249.1
597117.7
408744.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131076080100120140160120153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+27
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
37Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +28
14Coral scored#20
49Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
81Total teleop109
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#8
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points6
120Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.2
51.852.0
Auto12.5
Teleop36.7
End2.8
red by 2.9
49.10.9
47.248.1
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End2.3
Second
42.80.3
42.442.8
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End2.2
blue by 1.7
44.50.9
42.643.5
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End7.7
Third
2221
#26
16.00.2
15.816.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.2
blue by 1.7
5971
#19
17.70.9
15.816.7
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1