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Red85
36424.7
998310.4
208030.1
Blue98
299249.1
597117.7
408744.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6012101001502002508598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points42
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
66Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
85Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.5
29.630.1
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End2.0
blue by 19.0
49.10.2
47.447.2
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End2.3
Second
364
#13
24.70.5
24.224.7
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End4.6
blue by 19.8
44.50.2
42.842.6
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End7.7
Third
9983
#20
10.40.7
9.610.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.7
blue by 7.3
5971
#19
17.70.2
16.015.8
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1