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Red30
945611.5
99826.2
303914.9
Blue11
1021720.4
940520.4
998310.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74850501502002503003503011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
5Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
25Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
30Total score11

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#25
14.91.6
26.124.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 5.5
9405
#21
20.43.1
18.215.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End5.5
Second
9456
#22
11.51.6
17.215.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End0.1
blue by 8.9
20.44.1
28.624.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
9982
#23
6.22.7
10.98.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End2.3
blue by 4.1
9983
#20
10.45.2
10.95.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed