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Red104
999442.8
586311.0
208030.1
Blue58
222116.0
978729.8
648924.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697805010015020025010458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+54Teleop
+52Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
77Total teleop37
Reef
9L4#3
3L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points6
104Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.84.7
10.815.5
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End2.2
red by 12.9
9787
#12
29.81.4
25.223.8
Auto3.6
Teleop19.9
End6.4
Second
30.12.8
26.829.6
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End2.0
red by 5.3
24.71.7
23.822.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End5.9
Third
5863
#14
11.02.8
19.222.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 5.1
2221
#26
16.01.4
17.716.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed