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Red172
804491.2
433636.2
999316.0
Blue94
375320.1
945611.5
999442.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15340010020025017294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+58Teleop
+72Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points14
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +54
27Coral scored#12
97Coral points43
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#2
6Processor points18
20Net points8
26Algae points26
123Total teleop69
Reef
13L4#4
7L3#4
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
6Foul points0
172Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.22.7
84.186.8
Auto19.4
Teleop61.8
End10.0
red by 48.4
42.83.8
31.034.9
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End2.2
Second
36.22.7
32.535.2
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End1.3
red by 16.0
3753
#18
20.12.3
16.719.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.4
End-0.3
Third
9993
#17
16.04.6
8.413.0
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End2.4
red by 4.4
9456
#22
11.52.3
11.814.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed