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Red67
880851.1
222116.0
1021720.4
Blue84
191252.0
978729.8
597117.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110104501502006784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+1
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
58Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
67Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8808
#10
51.11.6
52.851.2
Auto9.6
Teleop38.9
End2.6
blue by 0.9
52.00.5
46.446.0
Auto12.5
Teleop36.7
End2.8
Second
20.41.6
23.021.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 9.4
9787
#12
29.80.5
27.527.1
Auto3.6
Teleop19.9
End6.4
Third
2221
#26
16.01.6
15.113.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.2
blue by 1.7
5971
#19
17.70.5
17.116.7
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned