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Red124
375320.1
191252.0
998415.2
Blue34
586311.0
299249.1
945611.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868440608010012012434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+74Teleop
+76Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
24Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +59
12Coral scored#3
44Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
6Processor points0
24Net points4
30Algae points4
74Total teleop15
Reef
5L4#1
5L3#0
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
20Foul points6
124Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.01.7
47.949.6
Auto12.5
Teleop36.7
End2.8
red by 2.9
49.13.6
51.447.9
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End2.3
Second
3753
#18
20.11.7
18.620.3
Auto5.1
Teleop15.4
End-0.3
red by 8.6
9456
#22
11.53.6
15.211.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End0.1
Third
9984
#27
15.22.8
12.415.2
Auto2.7
Teleop11.5
End0.9
red by 4.2
5863
#14
11.03.6
14.711.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed