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Red135
408744.5
375320.1
804491.2
Blue97
218328.3
99928.2
191252.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1789105015020025013597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+36Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
19Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +27
20Coral scored#13
72Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
12Processor points12
24Net points24
36Algae points36
108Total teleop81
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
135Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.21.5
86.985.3
Auto19.4
Teleop61.8
End10.0
red by 39.2
52.01.0
43.444.4
Auto12.5
Teleop36.7
End2.8
Second
44.51.5
43.642.0
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End7.7
red by 16.2
2183
#15
28.31.0
27.728.7
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End4.9
Third
3753
#18
20.11.5
21.620.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.4
End-0.3
red by 12.0
9992
#24
8.21.7
10.912.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed