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Red132
978729.8
1021720.4
433636.2
Blue24
998310.4
99739.4
36424.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9852015020013224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+86Teleop
+96Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +83
20Coral scored#3
73Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
97Total teleop14
Reef
8L4#1
6L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
27Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
12Foul points0
132Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.21.9
31.733.6
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End1.3
red by 11.5
364
#13
24.71.7
23.922.2
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End4.6
Second
9787
#12
29.81.9
23.825.7
Auto3.6
Teleop19.9
End6.4
red by 19.5
9983
#20
10.42.8
5.72.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.7
Third
20.42.3
24.426.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 11.0
9973
#16
9.42.8
10.98.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed