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Red106
99826.2
880851.1
299249.1
Blue55
222116.0
208030.1
945611.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12858010015020010655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points38
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
84Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
106Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8808
#10
51.10.0
48.848.8
Auto9.6
Teleop38.9
End2.6
red by 21.0
30.10.4
29.629.2
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Second
49.10.0
46.946.9
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End2.3
red by 33.0
2221
#26
16.00.4
16.415.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Third
9982
#23
6.20.0
8.28.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End2.3
blue by 5.3
9456
#22
11.50.4
15.615.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed