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Red91
998415.2
218328.3
408744.5
Blue164
999442.8
804491.2
940520.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7913405010015020025091164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+63
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +19
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
12Coral points37
18Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +44
13Coral scored#20
45Coral points73
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
67Total teleop111
Reef
7L4#11
3L3#8
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
91Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.8
42.042.8
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End7.7
blue by 46.7
91.23.2
85.388.5
Auto19.4
Teleop61.8
End10.0
Second
2183
#15
28.30.8
28.729.4
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End4.9
blue by 14.5
42.85.4
15.520.8
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End2.2
Third
9984
#27
15.21.3
8.710.0
Auto2.7
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 5.2
9405
#21
20.43.2
15.018.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned