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Red20
303914.9
99928.2
586311.0
Blue51
433636.2
597117.7
99739.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805501001502051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
0Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +31
2Coral scored#9
6Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop41
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points0
20Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#25
14.93.0
24.521.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 21.2
36.20.3
33.633.3
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End1.3
Second
5863
#14
11.03.0
22.019.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 6.7
5971
#19
17.70.3
14.313.9
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Third
9992
#24
8.25.0
12.57.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 1.3
9973
#16
9.40.5
8.07.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed