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Red105
299249.1
597117.7
408744.5
Blue75
36424.7
998310.4
208030.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12260010015020010575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points3
18Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
77Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#3
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points2
105Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.2
47.947.7
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End2.3
red by 19.0
30.10.2
29.429.6
Auto4.9
Teleop23.2
End2.0
Second
44.50.2
43.343.1
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End7.7
red by 19.8
364
#13
24.70.2
24.024.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End4.6
Third
5971
#19
17.70.2
16.516.3
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 7.3
9983
#20
10.40.4
9.49.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.7