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Red138
191252.0
222116.0
999442.8
Blue81
99739.4
1021720.4
218328.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11658010015020013881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+61Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +67
28Coral scored#12
99Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
123Total teleop56
Reef
9L4#4
9L3#3
4L2#4
8L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
138Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.6
49.650.1
Auto12.5
Teleop36.7
End2.8
red by 23.7
2183
#15
28.30.2
28.528.8
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End4.9
Second
42.80.8
39.240.1
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End2.2
red by 22.4
20.40.2
20.620.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
2221
#26
16.00.6
13.614.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.2
red by 6.6
9973
#16
9.40.3
9.810.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0