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Red62
99739.4
1021720.4
218328.3
Blue86
978729.8
648924.7
999316.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717902040601001201401606286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+24
Endgame+36
Fouls+24
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +24
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
34Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +24
12Foul points0
62Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#15
28.30.5
28.828.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End4.9
blue by 1.5
9787
#12
29.80.1
29.329.4
Auto3.6
Teleop19.9
End6.4
Second
20.40.5
20.920.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 4.4
24.70.1
24.224.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End5.9
Third
9973
#16
9.40.7
10.29.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.9
End1.0
blue by 6.5
9993
#17
16.00.2
15.215.4
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End2.4