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Red190
880851.1
940520.4
804491.2
Blue56
299249.1
597117.7
408744.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17210605015020025019056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+108Teleop
+134Endgame
+134Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave6
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points9
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +86
23Coral scored#7
83Coral points25
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
125Total teleop39
Reef
11L4#3
7L3#3
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#12
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +134
2Foul points2
190Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.20.7
88.789.4
Auto19.4
Teleop61.8
End10.0
red by 42.1
49.11.2
47.746.5
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End2.3
Second
8808
#10
51.10.7
48.649.3
Auto9.6
Teleop38.9
End2.6
red by 6.6
44.51.2
43.141.9
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End7.7
Third
9405
#21
20.40.7
17.918.6
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End5.5
red by 2.7
5971
#19
17.71.2
16.315.1
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1