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Red162
191252.0
222116.0
999442.8
Blue142
361643.7
945611.5
433636.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1089620406080120140160162142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+24Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +18
25Coral scored#14
91Coral points51
4Processor algae#5
3Net algae#7
24Processor points30
12Net points28
36Algae points58
127Total teleop109
Reef
9L4#7
9L3#5
9L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
162Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.01.2
50.151.3
Auto12.5
Teleop36.7
End2.8
red by 8.2
43.71.0
44.145.0
Auto9.0
Teleop32.6
End2.2
Second
42.81.7
40.141.7
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End2.2
red by 6.6
36.21.0
36.537.4
Auto5.6
Teleop29.4
End1.3
Third
2221
#26
16.01.2
14.215.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.2
red by 4.5
9456
#22
11.51.0
11.812.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.2
End0.1