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Red150
299249.1
597117.7
408744.5
Blue107
978729.8
648924.7
999316.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12266050100150200250150107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+65Teleop
+55Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points6
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
22Coral scored#13
80Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
112Total teleop60
Reef
9L4#6
10L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points12
150Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.9
46.547.4
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End2.3
red by 19.2
9787
#12
29.80.4
29.429.8
Auto3.6
Teleop19.9
End6.4
Second
44.50.9
41.942.8
Auto7.5
Teleop29.3
End7.7
red by 19.7
24.70.4
24.424.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End5.9
Third
5971
#19
17.70.9
15.116.0
Auto2.0
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 1.7
9993
#17
16.00.6
15.416.0
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End2.4