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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107118608010014016018013087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+19Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +37
16Coral scored#9
59Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
95Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
130Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#12
41.30.7
40.140.8
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
blue by 14.1
4451
#11
55.40.5
55.455.0
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
Second
38.30.7
37.137.8
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
blue by 0.5
38.90.5
38.938.4
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Third
4533
#26
23.40.7
22.222.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
red by 10.0
7085
#15
13.50.5
13.513.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5