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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11011680100120140160124128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave9
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points25
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +4
22Coral scored#17
78Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
92Total teleop88
Reef
11L4#10
6L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points2
124Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#12
41.30.5
40.841.3
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
blue by 14.1
4451
#11
55.40.4
55.055.4
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
Second
38.30.5
37.838.3
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
blue by 0.5
38.90.4
38.438.9
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Third
4533
#26
23.40.5
22.923.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
red by 10.0
7085
#15
13.50.4
13.013.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5