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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729305015020054119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+41
Endgame+53
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points28
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +13
8Coral scored#12
29Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
41Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points12
54Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
55.40.9
50.849.9
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
red by 6.9
48.51.7
30.031.8
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
Second
13.60.9
9.58.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
blue by 31.7
343
#1
45.31.7
42.043.8
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
Third
9315
#24
10.90.9
7.56.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.0
blue by 2.6
7085
#15
13.51.7
8.910.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned