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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60370501001502008257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+27Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
52Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points2
82Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.8
23.525.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
red by 5.3
6366
#22
25.71.1
13.314.4
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Second
5130
#17
26.31.8
16.918.7
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
red by 9.5
1293
#28
16.91.1
9.010.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
Third
1539
#34
6.41.8
2.74.5
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 2.9
9.21.1
5.26.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed