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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516301001502002503003503173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+34
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +34
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
2Cage & park10
2Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
31Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6961
#10
20.51.0
13.012.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 17.8
38.31.3
24.926.1
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
Second
19.81.0
21.720.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 4.1
24.01.3
16.517.8
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Third
4083
#32
8.61.0
11.110.1
Auto0.9
Teleop6.3
End1.4
blue by 2.9
8137
#33
11.51.3
12.814.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed