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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496702040801001201401606687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +16
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
52Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points2
66Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#12
41.31.0
23.624.7
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
blue by 1.9
43.21.5
37.138.6
Auto5.4
Teleop35.0
End2.8
Second
9571
#23
21.91.0
17.018.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
blue by 4.0
1758
#13
25.91.5
13.915.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Third
12.91.0
7.18.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Level
12.81.5
8.29.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed